- Based on information available from wizards and mtg.wtf
- Only uses tcgplayer (low, mid, market) prices (current page is: tcgmarket)
- All values <$1 are assumed to be 0
- Token/Ad/DFC Helper cards are not taken into account
- Have any better ideas about how to present this page? Let me know!
Play Booster Box (36 packs):
Total EV: $146.23 based on tcgmarket
Actual Price: $132.00 tcglow, $154.98 tcgmid, $144.19 tcgmarket
Sample EV distribution (2024-08-05, tcgmarket, 100000 pack test)
- This section ONLY uses tcgmarket and is static (doesn't update)
- Median Box price of $133.12 and Average Box price of $136.58 (compared to a calculated EV of $136.50 on the same day)
How the slots contribute:
Slot 1-7: Commons
0 / 81 + List > $1 = $1.1 per slot, $7.68 for all (0.75% of total, 5.25% for all slots)
- 1.5% of Play Boosters contain a card from The List (Special Guests cards): 10 / 10 > $1 = $7.68 (works out to ~41.96 % chance of hitting at least one in a box)
Slot 8-10: Uncommons
4 / 100 > $1 = $3.29 per slot, $9.86 for all (2.25% of total, 6.74% for all slots)
Slot 11: Wildcard (any rarity)
88 / 322 > $1 = $12.36 for the slot (8.45% of total)
Slot 12: Rare or Mythic Rare
84 / 141 > $1 = $94.31 for the slot (64.49% of total)
Slot 13: Traditional Foil (any rarity)
100 / 322 > $1 = $19.92 for the slot (13.62% of total)
Slot 14: Full-Art Basic Land
5 / 20 > $1 = $2.1 for the slot (1.43% of total)
- Spring 40% (non-foil 32%, traditional foil 8%) = $0
- Summer 30% (non-foil 24%, traditional foil 6%) = $0
- Autumn 20% (non-foil 16%, traditional foil 4%) = $0
- Winter 10% (non-foil 8%, traditional foil 2%) = $2.1
Slot 15: Non-foil Token or Art card (not currently taken into account)
29 / 138 > $1 = $8.13 for the slot (not contributing to total)
- 65% chance for a Ad/Token card = $6.95
- 30% chance for a Art Card = $0
- 5% chance for a Signature Art card = $1.18
