- Based on information available from wizards and mtg.wtf
- Only uses tcgplayer (low, mid, market) prices (current page is: tcglow)
- All values <$1 are assumed to be 0
- Token/Ad/DFC Helper cards are not taken into account
- Have any better ideas about how to present this page? Let me know!
Play Booster Box (36 packs):
Total EV: $93.01 based on tcglow
Actual Price: $140.01 tcglow, $154.73 tcgmid, $145.88 tcgmarket
Sample EV distribution (2024-08-05, tcgmarket, 100000 pack test)
- This section ONLY uses tcgmarket and is static (doesn't update)
- Median Box price of $133.12 and Average Box price of $136.58 (compared to a calculated EV of $136.50 on the same day)
How the slots contribute:
Slot 1-7: Commons
0 / 81 + List > $1 = $0.92 per slot, $6.43 for all (0.99% of total, 6.92% for all slots)
- 1.5% of Play Boosters contain a card from The List (Special Guests cards): 10 / 10 > $1 = $6.43 (works out to ~41.96 % chance of hitting at least one in a box)
Slot 8-10: Uncommons
2 / 100 > $1 = $1.52 per slot, $4.57 for all (1.64% of total, 4.91% for all slots)
Slot 11: Wildcard (any rarity)
62 / 322 > $1 = $7.75 for the slot (8.34% of total)
Slot 12: Rare or Mythic Rare
60 / 141 > $1 = $59.9 for the slot (64.4% of total)
Slot 13: Traditional Foil (any rarity)
68 / 322 > $1 = $14.35 for the slot (15.43% of total)
Slot 14: Full-Art Basic Land
0 / 20 > $1 = $0 for the slot (0% of total)
- Spring 40% (non-foil 32%, traditional foil 8%) = $0
- Summer 30% (non-foil 24%, traditional foil 6%) = $0
- Autumn 20% (non-foil 16%, traditional foil 4%) = $0
- Winter 10% (non-foil 8%, traditional foil 2%) = $0
Slot 15: Non-foil Token or Art card (not currently taken into account)
9 / 138 > $1 = $2.61 for the slot (not contributing to total)
- 65% chance for a Ad/Token card = $2
- 30% chance for a Art Card = $0
- 5% chance for a Signature Art card = $0.62
