- Based on information available from wizards and mtg.wtf
- Only uses tcgplayer (low, mid, market) prices (current page is: tcglow)
- All values <$1 are assumed to be 0
- Token/Ad/DFC Helper cards are not taken into account
- Have any better ideas about how to present this page? Let me know!
Play Booster Box (36 packs):
Total EV: $84.45 based on tcglow
Actual Price: $130.89 tcglow, $152.28 tcgmid, $133.16 tcgmarket
Sample EV distribution (2024-08-05, tcgmarket, 100000 pack test)
- This section ONLY uses tcgmarket and is static (doesn't update)
- Median Box price of $133.12 and Average Box price of $136.58 (compared to a calculated EV of $136.50 on the same day)
How the slots contribute:
Slot 1-7: Commons
0 / 81 + List > $1 = $0.95 per slot, $6.67 for all (1.13% of total, 7.9% for all slots)
- 1.5% of Play Boosters contain a card from The List (Special Guests cards): 10 / 10 > $1 = $6.67 (works out to ~41.96 % chance of hitting at least one in a box)
Slot 8-10: Uncommons
2 / 100 > $1 = $2.36 per slot, $7.07 for all (2.79% of total, 8.38% for all slots)
Slot 11: Wildcard (any rarity)
57 / 322 > $1 = $6.83 for the slot (8.09% of total)
Slot 12: Rare or Mythic Rare
55 / 141 > $1 = $51.38 for the slot (60.84% of total)
Slot 13: Traditional Foil (any rarity)
69 / 322 > $1 = $12.5 for the slot (14.8% of total)
Slot 14: Full-Art Basic Land
0 / 20 > $1 = $0 for the slot (0% of total)
- Spring 40% (non-foil 32%, traditional foil 8%) = $0
- Summer 30% (non-foil 24%, traditional foil 6%) = $0
- Autumn 20% (non-foil 16%, traditional foil 4%) = $0
- Winter 10% (non-foil 8%, traditional foil 2%) = $0
Slot 15: Non-foil Token or Art card (not currently taken into account)
10 / 138 > $1 = $2.6 for the slot (not contributing to total)
- 65% chance for a Ad/Token card = $2
- 30% chance for a Art Card = $0
- 5% chance for a Signature Art card = $0.61
